Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 7.986929 8.982405 10.163406 11.701444 13.706865 16.322699 20.169474
2024-12-15 7.566275 9.063421 11.074524 14.150628 19.153689 28.082129 49.957917
2024-12-22 6.635217 8.274099 10.666906 14.796694 22.958487 43.768057 187.647865
2024-12-29 6.223186 8.110675 11.143803 17.255196 33.576730 132.434111 NaN
2025-01-05 5.770844 7.797448 11.333009 19.603354 51.734646 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 5.177935 7.145207 10.752232 20.072004 70.303981 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 4.633288 6.481890 9.985526 19.702069 90.198981 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 4.501159 6.515397 10.672513 24.782153 638.157206 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 4.540664 6.882652 12.345719 38.925077 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 4.388621 6.849093 13.081577 54.671010 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 4.186303 6.672014 13.371445 73.949954 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 3.955652 6.391417 13.236679 93.201325 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 3.683019 6.019295 12.823878 116.940137 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 3.514276 5.859964 13.149641 241.943589 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 3.205309 5.320518 11.796521 177.268925 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 3.041320 5.107620 11.683122 324.957386 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.873333 4.859657 11.332994 592.058136 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.666668 4.490741 10.349220 354.406140 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.471847 4.133359 9.345143 198.983084 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.411652 4.099153 9.693039 1114.584262 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.410814 4.214130 10.818045 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.349511 4.163170 11.151321 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.272530 4.059079 11.157633 NaN NaN NaN NaN